{"id":8850,"date":"2019-07-26T21:10:00","date_gmt":"2019-07-27T02:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/diariodigitalmx.com\/?p=8850"},"modified":"2019-07-26T21:10:01","modified_gmt":"2019-07-27T02:10:01","slug":"dice-jp-morgan-que-mexico-no-evitara-la-recesion-tecnica","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diariodigitalmx.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/26\/dice-jp-morgan-que-mexico-no-evitara-la-recesion-tecnica\/","title":{"rendered":"Dice JP Morgan que M\u00e9xico no evitar\u00e1 la recesi\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El banco JP Morgan afirm\u00f3 que es poco probable que M\u00e9xico evite una recesi\u00f3n en el segundo trimestre del a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En un reporte, indic\u00f3 que la econom\u00eda mexicana evit\u00f3 por poco una recesi\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica en los dos trimestres a trav\u00e9s del cociente intelectual, pero parece poco probable que la evite en el segundo trimestre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Asimismo, disminuy\u00f3 su previsi\u00f3n de crecimiento para el periodo de 0.2% a -0.5%, luego de los datos econ\u00f3micos d\u00e9biles reflejados en junio.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;De hecho, la econom\u00eda es d\u00e9bil con los recientes trastornos pol\u00edticos que probablemente deprimir\u00e1n a\u00fan m\u00e1s la confianza empresarial y continuar\u00e1n pesando sobre la inversi\u00f3n&#8221;, refiri\u00f3 en el documento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Agreg\u00f3 que hay una debilidad en los sectores productivos de la inversi\u00f3n, como la miner\u00eda y la construcci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Este panorama de JP Morgan es el mismo que pronostic\u00f3 en julio pasado&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.elsoldemexico.com.mx\/finanzas\/coquetea-mexico-con-recesion-tecnica-bofa-bank-of-america-merril-lynch-3886126.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">el Bank Of America Merril Lynch (BofA) en su informe&nbsp;<\/a>&#8220;Coqueteando con una recesi\u00f3n (t\u00e9cnica)&#8221;, al considerar que M\u00e9xico podr\u00eda entrar en una recesi\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica en caso de que la econom\u00eda registre una baja en el segundo trimestre del a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Citibanamex y Banorte discrepan<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En contraparte, ejecutivos de Citibanamex y Banorte coincidieron en su diagn\u00f3stico sobre la econom\u00eda mexicana: no hay recesi\u00f3n. La desaceleraci\u00f3n, dijeron, es normal como en cada inicio de administraci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;No estamos en una recesi\u00f3n&#8221;, respondi\u00f3 contundente Alberto G\u00f3mez Alcal\u00e1, director corporativo de desarrollo institucional de Citibanamex, la entidad que el mi\u00e9rcoles&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.elsoldemexico.com.mx\/finanzas\/citibanamex-baja-a-0.2-su-proyeccion-para-el-pib-de-mexico-3943325.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">recort\u00f3 de 0.9% a 0.2% la expectativa de crecimiento econ\u00f3mico&nbsp;<\/a>para este a\u00f1o, el pron\u00f3stico m\u00e1s pesimista hasta ahora.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sin embargo, dijo que se debe poner atenci\u00f3n a las previsiones del Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI) que pronostica una desaceleraci\u00f3n en regiones econ\u00f3micas que pueden afectar la inversi\u00f3n y la aplicaci\u00f3n de medidas proteccionistas a nivel comercial. Igualmente, Marcos Ram\u00edrez, director general de Banorte y Gabriel Casillas, economista en jefe del grupo financiero, descartaron condiciones recesivas en la econom\u00eda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gabriel Casillas consider\u00f3 que aun cuando el crecimiento del PIB en el segundo trimestre sea negativo (el dato lo dar\u00e1 a conocer el Inegi el pr\u00f3ximo mi\u00e9rcoles), y despu\u00e9s de un dato tambi\u00e9n negativo en el periodo enero-marzo, el dato que se espera ser\u00eda cercano a cero.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Si se voltean a ver factores como el empleo y el consumo, estos no est\u00e1n en recesi\u00f3n, agreg\u00f3.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El banco JP Morgan afirm\u00f3 que es poco probable que M\u00e9xico evite una recesi\u00f3n en&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8854,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8850","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-negocios"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Dice JP Morgan que M\u00e9xico no evitar\u00e1 la recesi\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/diariodigitalmx.com\/index.php\/2019\/07\/26\/dice-jp-morgan-que-mexico-no-evitara-la-recesion-tecnica\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_MX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dice JP Morgan 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